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2024-12-13 05:26:17

On the evening of December 7th, Xinhua News Agency published an article "What do you think about the steady growth of monetary policy-the fifth question and answer on China's current economy". The article is concise, and the future monetary policy will continue to intensify counter-cyclical regulation and control, continuously improve the accuracy and effectiveness of supporting the real economy, and create a good monetary and financial environment for stable economic growth and structural optimization and adjustment.Before the US stock market closed on Friday (December 6), the employment situation report released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that the non-agricultural sector rebounded sharply in November, which was stronger than market expectations, and the unemployment rate rose to 4.2% as scheduled. According to specific data, the number of non-agricultural employees in the United States increased by 227,000 in November after the seasonal adjustment, the largest increase since March, higher than the market expectation of 200,000, and the data in October was revised from 12,000 to 36,000.Zhong Yu, the former chairman of Kangdexin, was sentenced to 15 years in prison and fined 20.2 million yuan. Kangdexin's financial fraud has harmed countless investors. Although the financial fine is not huge, 15 years' imprisonment is definitely the most severe punishment for A shares, which is definitely enough to shock.


The non-agricultural rebound in November in the United States exceeded expectations, and the unemployment rate rose slightly, pushing up the probability of interest rate cuts this month.According to market sources, a number of photovoltaic companies have signed a self-discipline convention. In this regard, a number of photovoltaic module battery companies confirmed to reporters that they have participated in the signing of the self-discipline convention. The relevant quotas will be set from next month based on the shipments and production capacity of various enterprises this year.In fact, the market should have been constrained in this way a long time ago. Many industries are prone to various kinds of production capacity, and an industry with good results is hard to survive because of various price wars, which also leads to a very long period for the whole industry to recover.


Before, we also said that a breakthrough here must be broken by a strong external force, and now the breakthrough stems from the important benefits that everyone has conveyed to the meeting. As long as the content of the meeting has not landed, such an expectation can be taken for a while, and the breakthrough here can also be regarded as an effective breakthrough.Long-term direction: real estate, kitchen appliances, chicken raising, food, zinc, good free cash flow, high dividends, high dividends, and growth (don't blindly pursue high dividends, be wary of varieties with high dividends and low dividends, and wait for the callback to stabilize and intervene).This means that the probability of interest rate cuts is increased, the interference of not cutting interest rates is reduced, and more help is added for the market to choose an upward breakthrough.

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